人工智能的进步正在**一场迅猛的技术变革。理解人工智能的能力与人类技能的关联，认识它们随时间推移而发展的状况，对于理解这一变革过程至关重要。 2016年和2021年，OECD两次运用“国际成人能力测评项目”，测评了人工智能的读写和计算能力。研究表明，人工智能在“国际成人能力测评项目”测试中的表现可能优于大部分成人，其读写能力可以超过90%的成人，计算能力可以超过57%～88%的成人。据专家预测，到2026年， 人工智能将可能完成“国际成人能力测评项目”中所有的读写和计算测试。 这些研究是如何进行的？人工智能的能力如何测评？人工智能的发展对人类就业和教育有什么影响？教育该如何应对？ 答案尽在本书中。

纲要······················································································1 方法论·············································································2 主要发现··········································································2 结论················································································4 **章 搭建舞台：评估人工智能影响的方法 ································7 测量人工智能能力和影响的已有研究 ··································· 10 人工智能能力探索性测评的目标 ········································· 15 本报告的结构·································································· 18 参考文献········································································ 18 注释·············································································· 20 第二章 人类技能与人工智能能力的演变 ···································· 23 技能供给的变化······························································· 25 人工智能能力的*新发展 ·················································· 36 测量人工智能能力的重要性 ··············································· 46 参考文献········································································ 48 附录2.A 补充表格 ·························································· 52 注释·············································································· 62 第三章 基于“成人技能调查���的人工智能能力测评的方法论 ·········· 63 “成人技能调查”概述 ························································ 64 确定一组计算机科学家 ····················································· 70 收集专家判断·································································· 72 问卷开发········································································ 74 构建人工智能读写和计算能力表现的综合度量 ······················· 76 困难挑战和经验教训 ························································ 77 参考文献········································································ 79 第四章 专家对人工智能读写和计算能力的测评 ··························· 81 人工智能在读写领域的能力评估 ········································· 82 人工智能在计算领域的能力评估 ········································· 96 参考文献·······································································111 附录4.A 补充表格 ·························································112 第五章 2016—2021年人工智能读写和计算能力的变化 ················113 人工智能读写能力随时间推移的变化 ··································115 人工智能计算能力随时间推移的变化 ··································123 参考文献·······································································131 附录5.A 补充图表 ·························································131 注释·············································································135 第六章 人工智能能力的持续进步对就业和教育的影响 ·················137 测评结果概要·································································138 不断发展的人工智能读写和计算能力对政策的影响 ················145 测评人工智能的新方法 ····················································158 参考文献·······································································159 注释·············································································162 译后记 ················································································163